{"slug":"expectativa-selic","titulo":"Expectativa do mercado para a Selic (mediana Focus)","descricao":"Mediana das projeções das instituições financeiras e consultorias para a Selic no fim de o ano corrente, na pesquisa Focus do Banco Central (API Olinda, ExpectativasMercadoAnuais, base de cálculo de 30 dias — a do Relatório Focus). Uma observação por semana: a última data da semana, como no relatório publicado às segundas-feiras. A série muda de ano de referência em janeiro; a mediana para o ano seguinte e o número de respondentes estão na tabela da página. Média, desvio-padrão, mínimo, máximo e a base de 5 dias úteis estão no arquivo de dados.","orgao":"Banco Central do Brasil","produtor":"Banco Central do Brasil (pesquisa Focus, Gerin)","unidade":"% a.a.","freq":"semanal","fonte":"Banco Central do Brasil — pesquisa Focus, expectativas de mercado anuais (Selic, mediana, base de 30 dias)","id":"bcb-focus:ExpectativasMercadoAnuais/Selic/mediana","api":"https://olinda.bcb.gov.br/olinda/servico/Expectativas/versao/v1/odata/ExpectativasMercadoAnuais?$format=json&$filter=Indicador%20eq%20'Selic'","licenca_nome":"ODbL 1.0 (Portal de Dados Abertos do BCB)","licenca_url":"https://opendatacommons.org/licenses/odbl/1-0/","coletado_em":"2026-10-18","frase":"A mediana das expectativas do mercado para a Selic no fim de 2026 era de 13,25% ao ano com dados até 09/10/2026, segundo a pesquisa Focus do Banco Central (139 respondentes); quatro semanas antes, em 11/09/2026, era de 13,75% ao ano. Para a Selic no fim de 2027, a mediana era de 12,00% ao ano.","ultimo":{"data":"2026-10-09","valor":13.25},"url":"https://atlasmercados.com.br/indicador/expectativa-selic","observacoes":[{"data":"2015-01-02","valor":12.5,"prox":11.5,"resp":94.0},{"data":"2015-01-09","valor":12.5,"prox":11.5,"resp":90.0},{"data":"2015-01-16","valor":12.5,"prox":11.5,"resp":97.0},{"data":"2015-01-23","valor":12.5,"prox":11.5,"resp":96.0},{"data":"2015-01-30","valor":12.5,"prox":11.5,"resp":94.0},{"data":"2015-02-06","valor":12.5,"prox":11.5,"resp":97.0},{"data":"2015-02-13","valor":12.75,"prox":11.5,"resp":99.0},{"data":"2015-02-20","valor":12.75,"prox":11.5,"resp":98.0},{"data":"2015-02-27","valor":13.0,"prox":11.5,"resp":103.0},{"data":"2015-03-06","valor":13.0,"prox":11.5,"resp":103.0},{"data":"2015-03-13","valor":13.0,"prox":11.5,"resp":101.0},{"data":"2015-03-20","valor":13.0,"prox":11.5,"resp":105.0},{"data":"2015-03-27","valor":13.25,"prox":11.5,"resp":99.0},{"data":"2015-04-02","valor":13.25,"prox":11.5,"resp":98.0},{"data":"2015-04-10","valor":13.25,"prox":11.5,"resp":100.0},{"data":"2015-04-17","valor":13.25,"prox":11.5,"resp":101.0},{"data":"2015-04-24","valor":13.25,"prox":11.5,"resp":101.0},{"data":"2015-04-30","valor":13.5,"prox":11.5,"resp":101.0},{"data":"2015-05-08","valor":13.5,"prox":11.63,"resp":101.0},{"data":"2015-05-15","valor":13.5,"prox":11.75,"resp":103.0},{"data":"2015-05-22","valor":13.75,"prox":12.0,"resp":104.0},{"data":"2015-05-29","valor":14.0,"prox":12.0,"resp":100.0},{"data":"2015-06-05","valor":14.0,"prox":12.0,"resp":null},{"data":"2015-06-12","valor":14.0,"prox":12.0,"resp":null},{"data":"2015-06-19","valor":14.25,"prox":12.0,"resp":null},{"data":"2015-06-26","valor":14.5,"prox":12.0,"resp":104.0},{"data":"2015-07-03","valor":14.5,"prox":12.06,"resp":104.0},{"data":"2015-07-10","valor":14.5,"prox":12.25,"resp":105.0},{"data":"2015-07-17","valor":14.5,"prox":12.0,"resp":105.0},{"data":"2015-07-24","valor":14.25,"prox":12.0,"resp":107.0},{"data":"2015-07-31","valor":14.25,"prox":12.0,"resp":105.0},{"data":"2015-08-07","valor":14.25,"prox":12.0,"resp":108.0},{"data":"2015-08-14","valor":14.25,"prox":11.88,"resp":110.0},{"data":"2015-08-21","valor":14.25,"prox":12.0,"resp":110.0},{"data":"2015-08-28","valor":14.25,"prox":12.0,"resp":107.0},{"data":"2015-09-04","valor":14.25,"prox":12.0,"resp":105.0},{"data":"2015-09-11","valor":14.25,"prox":12.0,"resp":97.0},{"data":"2015-09-18","valor":14.25,"prox":12.25,"resp":95.0},{"data":"2015-09-25","valor":14.25,"prox":12.5,"resp":95.0},{"data":"2015-10-02","valor":14.25,"prox":12.5,"resp":94.0},{"data":"2015-10-09","valor":14.25,"prox":12.63,"resp":101.0},{"data":"2015-10-16","valor":14.25,"prox":12.75,"resp":104.0},{"data":"2015-10-23","valor":14.25,"prox":13.0,"resp":103.0},{"data":"2015-10-30","valor":14.25,"prox":13.0,"resp":101.0},{"data":"2015-11-06","valor":14.25,"prox":13.25,"resp":102.0},{"data":"2015-11-13","valor":14.25,"prox":13.25,"resp":105.0},{"data":"2015-11-20","valor":14.25,"prox":13.75,"resp":106.0},{"data":"2015-11-25","valor":14.25,"prox":13.75,"resp":105.0},{"data":"2016-01-08","valor":15.25,"prox":12.75,"resp":91.0},{"data":"2016-01-15","valor":15.25,"prox":12.88,"resp":94.0},{"data":"2016-01-22","valor":14.64,"prox":12.75,"resp":101.0},{"data":"2016-01-29","valor":14.25,"prox":12.75,"resp":103.0},{"data":"2016-02-05","valor":14.25,"prox":12.5,"resp":106.0},{"data":"2016-02-12","valor":14.25,"prox":12.75,"resp":109.0},{"data":"2016-02-19","valor":14.25,"prox":12.63,"resp":106.0},{"data":"2016-02-26","valor":14.25,"prox":12.5,"resp":106.0},{"data":"2016-03-04","valor":14.25,"prox":12.5,"resp":99.0},{"data":"2016-03-11","valor":14.25,"prox":12.5,"resp":98.0},{"data":"2016-03-18","valor":14.25,"prox":12.5,"resp":94.0},{"data":"2016-03-24","valor":14.25,"prox":12.5,"resp":94.0},{"data":"2016-04-01","valor":13.75,"prox":12.5,"resp":96.0},{"data":"2016-04-08","valor":13.75,"prox":12.25,"resp":101.0},{"data":"2016-04-15","valor":13.38,"prox":12.25,"resp":100.0},{"data":"2016-04-22","valor":13.25,"prox":12.0,"resp":96.0},{"data":"2016-04-29","valor":13.25,"prox":11.75,"resp":101.0},{"data":"2016-05-06","valor":13.0,"prox":11.75,"resp":97.0},{"data":"2016-05-13","valor":13.0,"prox":11.5,"resp":98.0},{"data":"2016-05-20","valor":12.75,"prox":11.38,"resp":98.0},{"data":"2016-05-27","valor":12.88,"prox":11.25,"resp":96.0},{"data":"2016-06-03","valor":12.88,"prox":11.25,"resp":96.0},{"data":"2016-06-10","valor":13.0,"prox":11.25,"resp":null},{"data":"2016-06-17","valor":13.0,"prox":11.25,"resp":null},{"data":"2016-06-24","valor":13.25,"prox":11.0,"resp":null},{"data":"2016-07-01","valor":13.25,"prox":11.0,"resp":107.0},{"data":"2016-07-08","valor":13.25,"prox":11.0,"resp":110.0},{"data":"2016-07-15","valor":13.25,"prox":11.0,"resp":108.0},{"data":"2016-07-22","valor":13.25,"prox":11.0,"resp":110.0},{"data":"2016-07-29","valor":13.5,"prox":11.0,"resp":108.0},{"data":"2016-08-05","valor":13.5,"prox":11.0,"resp":104.0},{"data":"2016-08-12","valor":13.75,"prox":11.0,"resp":104.0},{"data":"2016-08-19",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