{"slug":"expectativa-resultado-primario","titulo":"Expectativa do mercado para o resultado primário (mediana Focus)","descricao":"Mediana das projeções das instituições financeiras e consultorias para o resultado primário de o ano corrente, na pesquisa Focus do Banco Central (API Olinda, ExpectativasMercadoAnuais, base de cálculo de 30 dias — a do Relatório Focus). Uma observação por semana: a última data da semana, como no relatório publicado às segundas-feiras. A série muda de ano de referência em janeiro; a mediana para o ano seguinte e o número de respondentes estão na tabela da página. Média, desvio-padrão, mínimo, máximo e a base de 5 dias úteis estão no arquivo de dados.","orgao":"Banco Central do Brasil","produtor":"Banco Central do Brasil (pesquisa Focus, Gerin)","unidade":"% PIB","freq":"semanal","fonte":"Banco Central do Brasil — pesquisa Focus, expectativas de mercado anuais (Resultado primário, mediana, base de 30 dias)","id":"bcb-focus:ExpectativasMercadoAnuais/Resultado primário/mediana","api":"https://olinda.bcb.gov.br/olinda/servico/Expectativas/versao/v1/odata/ExpectativasMercadoAnuais?$format=json&$filter=Indicador%20eq%20'Resultado primário'","licenca_nome":"ODbL 1.0 (Portal de Dados Abertos do BCB)","licenca_url":"https://opendatacommons.org/licenses/odbl/1-0/","coletado_em":"2026-10-18","frase":"A mediana das expectativas do mercado para o resultado primário de 2026 era de -0,41% do PIB com dados até 09/10/2026, segundo a pesquisa Focus do Banco Central (60 respondentes); quatro semanas antes, em 11/09/2026, era de -0,45% do PIB. Para o resultado primário de 2027, a mediana era de -0,4% do 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