{"slug":"expectativa-ipca","titulo":"Expectativa do mercado para o IPCA (mediana Focus)","descricao":"Mediana das projeções das instituições financeiras e consultorias para o IPCA de o ano corrente, na pesquisa Focus do Banco Central (API Olinda, ExpectativasMercadoAnuais, base de cálculo de 30 dias — a do Relatório Focus). Uma observação por semana: a última data da semana, como no relatório publicado às segundas-feiras. A série muda de ano de referência em janeiro; a mediana para o ano seguinte e o número de respondentes estão na tabela da página. Média, desvio-padrão, mínimo, máximo e a base de 5 dias úteis estão no arquivo de dados.","orgao":"Banco Central do Brasil","produtor":"Banco Central do Brasil (pesquisa Focus, Gerin)","unidade":"%","freq":"semanal","fonte":"Banco Central do Brasil — pesquisa Focus, expectativas de mercado anuais (IPCA, mediana, base de 30 dias)","id":"bcb-focus:ExpectativasMercadoAnuais/IPCA/mediana","api":"https://olinda.bcb.gov.br/olinda/servico/Expectativas/versao/v1/odata/ExpectativasMercadoAnuais?$format=json&$filter=Indicador%20eq%20'IPCA'","licenca_nome":"ODbL 1.0 (Portal de Dados Abertos do BCB)","licenca_url":"https://opendatacommons.org/licenses/odbl/1-0/","coletado_em":"2026-10-18","frase":"A mediana das expectativas do mercado para o IPCA de 2026 era de 5,22% com dados até 09/10/2026, segundo a pesquisa Focus do Banco Central (144 respondentes); quatro semanas antes, em 11/09/2026, era de 4,9%. Para o IPCA de 2027, a mediana era de 4,3%.","ultimo":{"data":"2026-10-09","valor":5.2245},"url":"https://atlasmercados.com.br/indicador/expectativa-ipca","observacoes":[{"data":"2015-01-02","valor":6.56,"prox":5.7,"resp":106.0},{"data":"2015-01-09","valor":6.6,"prox":5.7,"resp":112.0},{"data":"2015-01-16","valor":6.67,"prox":5.7,"resp":112.0},{"data":"2015-01-23","valor":6.99,"prox":5.6,"resp":110.0},{"data":"2015-01-30","valor":7.01,"prox":5.6,"resp":109.0},{"data":"2015-02-06","valor":7.15,"prox":5.6,"resp":110.0},{"data":"2015-02-13","valor":7.27,"prox":5.6,"resp":111.0},{"data":"2015-02-20","valor":7.33,"prox":5.6,"resp":114.0},{"data":"2015-02-27","valor":7.47,"prox":5.5,"resp":113.0},{"data":"2015-03-06","valor":7.77,"prox":5.51,"resp":115.0},{"data":"2015-03-13","valor":7.93,"prox":5.6,"resp":112.0},{"data":"2015-03-20","valor":8.12,"prox":5.61,"resp":115.0},{"data":"2015-03-27","valor":8.13,"prox":5.6,"resp":112.0},{"data":"2015-04-02","valor":8.2,"prox":5.6,"resp":113.0},{"data":"2015-04-10","valor":8.13,"prox":5.6,"resp":109.0},{"data":"2015-04-17","valor":8.23,"prox":5.6,"resp":110.0},{"data":"2015-04-24","valor":8.25,"prox":5.6,"resp":109.0},{"data":"2015-04-30","valor":8.26,"prox":5.6,"resp":109.0},{"data":"2015-05-08","valor":8.29,"prox":5.51,"resp":110.0},{"data":"2015-05-15","valor":8.31,"prox":5.5,"resp":112.0},{"data":"2015-05-22","valor":8.37,"prox":5.5,"resp":112.0},{"data":"2015-05-29","valor":8.39,"prox":5.5,"resp":110.0},{"data":"2015-06-05","valor":8.46,"prox":5.5,"resp":108.0},{"data":"2015-06-12","valor":8.79,"prox":5.5,"resp":108.0},{"data":"2015-06-19","valor":8.97,"prox":5.5,"resp":109.0},{"data":"2015-06-26","valor":9.0,"prox":5.5,"resp":111.0},{"data":"2015-07-03","valor":9.04,"prox":5.45,"resp":114.0},{"data":"2015-07-10","valor":9.12,"prox":5.44,"resp":114.0},{"data":"2015-07-17","valor":9.15,"prox":5.4,"resp":115.0},{"data":"2015-07-24","valor":9.23,"prox":5.4,"resp":113.0},{"data":"2015-07-31","valor":9.25,"prox":5.4,"resp":115.0},{"data":"2015-08-07","valor":9.32,"prox":5.43,"resp":114.0},{"data":"2015-08-14","valor":9.32,"prox":5.44,"resp":116.0},{"data":"2015-08-21","valor":9.29,"prox":5.5,"resp":116.0},{"data":"2015-08-28","valor":9.28,"prox":5.51,"resp":117.0},{"data":"2015-09-04","valor":9.29,"prox":5.58,"resp":116.0},{"data":"2015-09-11","valor":9.28,"prox":5.64,"resp":113.0},{"data":"2015-09-18","valor":9.34,"prox":5.7,"resp":113.0},{"data":"2015-09-25","valor":9.46,"prox":5.87,"resp":112.0},{"data":"2015-10-02","valor":9.53,"prox":5.94,"resp":111.0},{"data":"2015-10-09","valor":9.7,"prox":6.05,"resp":111.0},{"data":"2015-10-16","valor":9.75,"prox":6.12,"resp":114.0},{"data":"2015-10-23","valor":9.85,"prox":6.22,"resp":114.0},{"data":"2015-10-30","valor":9.91,"prox":6.29,"resp":112.0},{"data":"2015-11-06","valor":9.99,"prox":6.47,"resp":115.0},{"data":"2015-11-13","valor":10.04,"prox":6.5,"resp":115.0},{"data":"2015-11-20","valor":10.33,"prox":6.64,"resp":112.0},{"data":"2015-11-27","valor":10.38,"prox":6.64,"resp":113.0},{"data":"2015-12-04","valor":10.44,"prox":6.7,"resp":112.0},{"data":"2015-12-11","valor":10.61,"prox":6.8,"resp":115.0},{"data":"2015-12-18","valor":10.7,"prox":6.87,"resp":117.0},{"data":"2015-12-24","valor":10.72,"prox":6.86,"resp":117.0},{"data":"2015-12-31","valor":10.72,"prox":6.87,"resp":115.0},{"data":"2016-01-08","valor":6.93,"prox":5.2,"resp":111.0},{"data":"2016-01-15","valor":7.0,"prox":5.4,"resp":108.0},{"data":"2016-01-22","valor":7.23,"prox":5.65,"resp":110.0},{"data":"2016-01-29","valor":7.26,"prox":5.8,"resp":115.0},{"data":"2016-02-05","valor":7.56,"prox":6.0,"resp":115.0},{"data":"2016-02-12","valor":7.61,"prox":6.0,"resp":115.0},{"data":"2016-02-19","valor":7.62,"prox":6.0,"resp":114.0},{"data":"2016-02-26","valor":7.57,"prox":6.0,"resp":117.0},{"data":"2016-03-04","valor":7.59,"prox":6.0,"resp":113.0},{"data":"2016-03-11","valor":7.46,"prox":6.0,"resp":116.0},{"data":"2016-03-18","valor":7.43,"prox":6.0,"resp":111.0},{"data":"2016-03-24","valor":7.31,"prox":6.0,"resp":114.0},{"data":"2016-04-01","valor":7.28,"prox":6.0,"resp":114.0},{"data":"2016-04-08","valor":7.14,"prox":5.95,"resp":116.0},{"data":"2016-04-15","valor":7.08,"prox":5.93,"resp":116.0},{"data":"2016-04-22","valor":6.98,"prox":5.8,"resp":110.0},{"data":"2016-04-29","valor":6.94,"prox":5.72,"resp":111.0},{"data":"2016-05-06","valor":7.0,"prox":5.62,"resp":115.0},{"data":"2016-05-13","valor":7.0,"prox":5.5,"resp":113.0},{"data":"2016-05-20","valor":7.04,"prox":5.5,"resp":116.0},{"data":"2016-05-27","valor":7.06,"prox":5.5,"resp":116.0},{"data":"2016-06-03","valor":7.12,"prox":5.5,"resp":113.0},{"data":"2016-06-10","valor":7.19,"prox":5.5,"resp":112.0},{"data":"2016-06-17","valor":7.25,"prox":5.5,"resp":111.0},{"data":"2016-06-24","valor":7.29,"prox":5.5,"resp":115.0},{"data":"2016-07-01","valor":7.27,"prox":5.43,"resp":118.0},{"data":"2016-07-08","valor":7.26,"prox":5.4,"resp":115.0},{"data":"2016-07-15","valor":7.26,"prox":5.3,"resp":115.0},{"data":"2016-07-22","valor":7.21,"prox":5.29,"resp":117.0},{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